Super Week Results and Predictions

By Helmight

 

            With the conclusion of the second Super Week of this season and the coming of the All-Star break, both the NA LCS and EU LCS have been shaken up. Some teams rose, some teams fell, and others worked their butts off to stay in the same place. Let’s take a look at the changes.

NA LCS:

            It is perhaps no surprise that Team SoloMid and Cloud 9 are still sitting pretty on the top of the standings. After 4-0 finishes from both teams through Super Week, I would be quite surprised indeed if either of them fell from their pedestals. Instead, the question to be asked is whether or not C9 can reclaim their first-place throne before the All-Star break.

            While their Super Week performance didn’t hand them the third place spot, it certainly cemented Counter Logic Gaming’s position there. However, third place will also be where CLG will stay for the rest of the season – they’re four games out of second place, and are two ahead of the remainder of the NA teams. Certainly it’s something to be happy about given their early-season struggles, but it’s disappointing to think of where they might have been at this time had Dexter joined them sooner.

            Despite being the first team to beat Cloud 9 this year, Dignitas has had a fairly lackluster midseason. CLG’s sudden rise to prominence didn’t do them any favors, but going 1-3 in Super Week definitely hurt their chances of making a run for third place. The game they lost against Curse was especially crippling – had they won, Scarra and the team would have been a game away from CLG and two games up on Curse and Team Coast. As it stands though, Dignitas will simply need to play out of the rest of the season and prepare themselves for the Summer Split.

            And speaking of Curse, they’ve made a pretty fantastic run for themselves. With a 5-11 record two weeks ago, they were facing relegation and losing hope of seeing the Summer Split. After a few clutch victories during Super Week and Team Coast’s fall from relevance, Curse have finally emerged from the bottom three spots and sit only a game behind Dignitas. Beating Dig next week will move Curse up to fourth – the highest they’ve been this year – and leave them in a great position to head into the All-Star break.

            Finally, Team Coast fans are guaranteed to be disappointed after their 0-4 finish to the week. While they had been sitting at a comfortable 7-9 record before Super Week, Coast was unable to employ the same tenacity and determination that had brought them out of the bottom three during the middle of the season. With luck, Coast will be able to make it back into the LCS from the relegation tournament – but they will certainly not be playing their way out of 7^th place.

EU LCS:

            Super Week was not kind to ROCCAT. While the Polish team has surprised many by leading the pack in their first ever LCS season, their 1-3 record last week has dropped them from first place. With only a game separating them from the leaders, it’s certainly possible that ROCCAT will be able to claw themselves back to the top of the league – but it will all come down to the consistency of Gambit and SK Gaming.

            SK meanwhile has come out of nowhere. For a team that started the season at the bottom of the roster, SK has shown remarkable resiliency and has managed to climb up to challenge Gambit for dominance of the EU LCS. Gambit meanwhile has been the most consistent of the European teams, refusing to ever fall more than a game out of first place and executing well at all stages of a match. These two will be interesting to watch as the split winds to an end.

            In addition to the two-way tie for first, the EU LCS has also been unable to get rid of its three-way tie for fourth. Though the Supa Hot Crew’s 0-4 finish to Super Week has dropped them from relevance, Alliance’s incredible 4-0 record has catapulted them right into the spot formerly held by SHC. Fnatic and the Copenhagen Wolves meanwhile have simply held their ground with respectable 2-2 finishes each. The real question is which team will be able to break the tie and rise to fourth place alone. Copenhagen has been the most consistent of the three teams and has a real shot at breaking away from the others, but Alliance’s red-hot performance during Super Week could be a sign that they’re ready to make a shot at the top three teams. Fnatic meanwhile has been shaky and inconsistent, but still has enough talent to hold their own. Next week will most likely decide where these three teams end up.

            If anything, the EU LCS is shaping up to be a lot more exciting than the NA scene. With only two games between the first place team and the 6^th place team, things could change very quickly. Given how the league has played out so far, nothing can really surprise me anymore. It could be the former last-place Alliance or the fallen Fnatic team taking home first place by the time they break for the All-Star matches – but it’s just as likely that Gambit or SK hold onto their advantages. Only time will tell.